So in my first Idol post, I predicted that the Final 12 would be Taylor Hicks, Paris Bennett, Mandisa, Lisa Tucker, Katharine McPhee, Kellie Pickler, Chris Daughtry, Ace Young, Elliott Yamin, Kevin Covais, Daniel Radford, and Brenna Gethers. I'll admit to being wrong about my last two picks, Radford and Gethers, but I don't mind pointing out that the contestants who made it through instead have been in the bottom two or three consistantly.

In retrospect, my mistake with Gethers was in overestimating how much obnoxiousness America could stomach in the name of drama. With Radford, I didn't anticipate he'd try to sing outside of his genre so early. Had he done, say, a "Moon River" instead of "Crazy Little Thing Called Love," I think he'd be standing in Bucky's place right now. Granted, he'd be standing there retardedly, but he'd be standing there.

We're now at the point in the competition where show theme has a huge impact of who goes when. For example, if disco hits when there are after Bucky's gone but before Elliott goes, someone like Chris Daughtry will have problems. That said, I think it's pretty safe to assume that we'll see Melissa McGhee go first. I suspect she's be followed by Covais and Covington, Mandisa, Young, and Tucker.

Analogcabin @ 11:15 AM
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